Portfolio Daily
BUY starter 1.5%: gap pre-market positivo, earnings 28/Jul y backlog; riesgo binario acotado.
SELL 100% pre-market: precio 3.7801 debajo del stop/review 4; thesis turnaround invalidada.
Gap post-earnings +2.76pct premarket, +3.35pct 5d; starter 1.5pct
Trim tactico: AMD Helios eleva competencia; target NVDA 16pct a 15.5pct
Salida total micro-posicion: costo de deuda AI data centers >7pct; rotacion a INTC
NUEVA 2.5%: forecast 2026 elevado, Pentagon restocking y fortaleza relativa +7.5%; rotacion desde TSLA
SALIDA TOTAL: Q2 EPS miss 35%, FCF negativo y stop 370 roto; thesis FSD/robotaxi del runner invalidada
ADD 0.23 sh @ 55.89 = 1.85 (drift -0.32pp -> +0.40pp, pre-earnings 28/Jul defense bid)
ADD 0.30 sh @ 07.08 = 52.12 (drift -1.38pp WATCH -> -0.05pp OK, defense thesis mega-reforzada)
TRIM 0.20 sh @ 175.15 = 35.03 (drift +1.62pp REBAL -> -0.43pp OK, cierra brecha por realizacion parcial)
Refuerza anchor thesis GLP-1 - drift -0.69pp a +1.34pp WATCH, funding desde trim TSLA pre-print
Pre-earnings binary reduce miercoles 22/Jul - target 6% a 3%, drift -0.76pp a +0.12pp OK. Stop mental 370 ROTO en cierre 369.57
ADD 0.55 sh @ $348.97 = $191.93 (drift -2.19pp -> -0.52pp WATCH, sale de REBAL threshold, defensiva quality payment network)
TRIM 0.30 sh @ $523.22 = $156.97 (drift +0.03pp -> -1.33pp WATCH, profit-take parcial defense thesis mega-reforzada)
PRE-MARKET 12/Jul cash-constrained rebal: ADD V drift -3.11pp -> -2.19pp, funded by LMT trim
PRE-MARKET 12/Jul cash-constrained rebal: trim LMT drift +0.95pp, finantiar ADD V drift -3.11pp
Defense thesis MEGA-reforzada HOY: Iran ceasefire fracturando (Khamenei vows revenge, Trump warns devastating US response, Ukraine long-range strikes command). Target 1.5%->3.0%. NATO $57B deals + Pentagon $1.5T FY27 budget siguen estructurales.
Profit-take tactical. Drift -0.67pp cierra; capital redesplegado a LMT (defense thesis mega-reforzada por Iran Khamenei revenge + Trump warns devastating response). Realized P&L +$16.75.
Compra nueva 7.5%: AI cash-flow rota a chipmakers; AVGO +10.96% 5d y mejor risk/reward que GOOGL/MRK/ELV/PG.
Salida total: posición sub-0.5% negativa; no mueve alpha, libero capital para concentración real.